<?xml version="1.0" encoding="iso-8859-1"?><rss version="1.0"><channel><title>Diary of manoj sharma</title><link>http://sharesmutualfunds.rediffiland.com/</link><description>Diary of manoj sharma</description><language>en-us</language><item><title>HOW TO WIN 'JACK POT' IN STOCK MARKET?</title><description><![CDATA[<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">The biggest question in the stock market hasn't changed for years. Every body wants to know, how to pick a dream stock, which can make him super rich. Actually it requires education, skill, patience and a little luck to be a successful investor. An investor needs to work hard intelligently and with discipline to recognize opportunities other professionals may have missed. Picking the 'Jack Pot', in the stock market requires down to earth attitude like the shopping style of a bargain hunter. You need to buy an undervalued stock with strong fundamentals and then to sell it at a high price. This means to win a 'Jack Pot' in the stock market, you need to be a value investor.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Most of us may think that it is very simple to buy a stock at Rs. 100 and sell it at Rs. 125 after some time. Warren Buffett is doing it for more than fifty years. He is known as the greatest investor in the history. He has amassed the great wealth by applying value-investing style in stock trading.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </SPAN>A value investor looks for stocks with unjustifiably low prices and strong fundamentals. He is like a bargain hunter. He searches for those stocks, which he believes are undervalued. His philosophy is simple buy low and sell high. It seems to be very simple and logical.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Like bargain hunters, you simply need to go through the list of listed companies and select under priced stocks. But this is not the complete game. These under priced companies should have strong fundamentals.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">So if you want to win a 'Jack Pot' in the stock market, follow your mother's strategy. She goes to the vegetable market and behaves like a value investor there. She goes to many shops and thoroughly checks vegetables, in terms of quality and prices. Then she purchases vegetables from those shopkeepers, who offer good quality at comparatively low prices.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">So keep in mind, your mother's strategy and search for stocks that are undervalued and have potential to give value over the period of time. You have to do this before majority of the other investors recognize the potential in that stock and prices go high.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Now question arises, how to know which stock is undervalued and which one is overvalued. The stock, which is trading for less than its intrinsic value is undervalued and trading above its intrinsic value, is overvalued. It's so simple and you have to search for those shares, which are trading for less than their intrinsic value. Stock market is a wonderful place. This market overreacts to good and bad news. And good news about your undervalued share would do the magic. Price of your stock would jump high and you will become rich. There is always an opportunity for value investors to profit by buying when the price is deflated.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">The problem before small investors is, how to find the intrinsic value of a stock. Mutual funds and foreign institutional investors employ Technical analysts to keep an eye on the potential stocks. So what should a small investor do? <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Here is the secret of the most successful investor in the history. By keeping in mind Warren Buffett's style and method, small investors can also earn money in the stock market. Buffett looks for the following things:<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">First, Is company consistently performing well? Are shareholders earning income on their shares? To find this rate Buffett checks return on equity (ROE). ROE is a wonderful instrument to find out whether or not company has consistently performed well in comparison to other companies in the same industry. All finance newspapers publish ROE of the different stocks.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">The investor should view the ROE from the past five to 10 years to get a good idea of historical performance.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Second, Does Company has excess debt or it has successfully avoided it? <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">The debt/equity ratio is another important factor, Buffett considers carefully. He prefers small amount of debt.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">A high level of debt compared to equity means volatile earnings and large interest expenses. <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Third, Profit margins must be high and they should be increasing. <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Buffett prefers to buy stock of company, which has high profit margins. Consistently increasing profit margins shows sound financial health of the company. This margin is calculated by dividing net income by net sales. To get a good indication of historical profit margins, investors should look back at least five years. <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Fourth, Share is trading at discount or premium to its real value. <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">The most important and difficult part of value investing is to determine weather stock is undervalued or overvalued. Buffett is expert in this skill and that's why he has become the most successful investor in the history.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">According to Grahamand Dodd, 'Intrinsic value of a security is that value, which is justified by the facts, e.g. assets, earnings, dividends, definite prospects, including the factor of management of the company.' <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">Buffett compares intrinsic value of the company to its current market capitalization. If intrinsic value is 25% higher than the company's market capitalization, then Buffett considers company's stocks have potential to be traded a high value in future.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">So, it was the secret of Buffett's success in stock trading. Value investing made him third richest man in the world today and the most successful investor in the history. But remember millions of other investors have lost money in the past trying to guess stock price movements. But value investing is a proven success method, which can make you rich, if you apply it carefully.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 28 Jul 2007 02:15:52 +0530</pubDate><link>http://sharesmutualfunds.rediffiland.com/blogs/2007/07/28/HOW-TO-WIN-JACK-POT-IN-STOCK.html</link></item><item><title>IMPORTANCE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IN PICKING STOCKS</title><description><![CDATA[<P class=MsoBodyText style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT size=4>These days strange movement of share prices at BSE and NSE are spreading fears among the small investors. Many of them want to understand why price of a share go up or down, against general expectation. They are trying to understand the complex charts and graphs showing upward and downward movements of the share prices. Technical analysis in the stock market has a great significance in the volatile market. Even Market Analysts bank on this instrument to predict where the Stock Market is heading for. But many times all analysis proved wrong and Market sentiments become the real winner. So, it is not advisable to completely depend on the analysis. Investor should give all the factors equal importance.</FONT></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"><FONT size=4> <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt"><FONT size=4>Actually these can be taken as guidelines. But please take care and don't put your hard earned money in equities, just on the basis of technical analysis. I am not criticizing these analyses. I just want to remind you that many times it has happened that analysis were showing very bright picture of the Stock Market and still returns were not that good.<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 26 Dec 2006 23:29:45 +0530</pubDate><link>http://sharesmutualfunds.rediffiland.com/blogs/2006/12/26/IMPORTANCE-OF-TECHNICAL-ANALYSIS-IN-PICKING.html</link></item></channel></rss>